What leads you to say it's not likely?
The milky way alone has somewhere between 200 and 400 billion stars. It's likely that many of these stars have planets, but it's what the ratio of planets to stars is; to be on the safe side, lets say there's one planet for every hundred stars. That gives us about 3 billion planets.
Life on earth evolved to very specific conditions. Early life forms on earth likely evolved in water, with certain atoms--carbon, hydrogen, oxygen, and nitrogen--present, and with access to mild sunlight, 1 atm of pressure, and countless other conditions. It's likely that life could form in different conditions, and perhaps very different conditions, but to be on the conservative side, let's assume that it can't. Lets say only one in, say, a hundred million planets are earth-like. That gives us 30 hospitable planets in our galaxy.
The likelihood of life forming on a livable planet is a total crap-shoot. It could be all but inevitable, or it could be a one-in-a-trillion. Again, lets be conservative and say that it's incredibly unlikely. That gives us a 0.00000000003 chance of life forming in any one galaxy.
The thing is, though, there are an almost infinite number of galaxies. Saying that there are more galaxies then there are grains of sand in all the world's beaches is a gross understatement. Saying that there are more galaxies than there are atoms in the earth is a bit closer, but not much.
If there's a virtually infinite number of galaxies, the odds of there being life on other planets--even if the odds are terrible for any one planet, or any one galaxy--are incredibly high, to to point where the evolution of life on many, many other planets is all but a statistical certainty. The only exception would be if there was something special about Earth that no (or almost no) other planets shared, but there's no reason to assume this is the case. The more we learn about astronomy, the more we learn how un-special our planet and solar system are. If life arose naturally, extra-terrestrial life isn't just possible, it's all but certain.