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Debate Score:14
Arguments:6
Total Votes:17
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Maninthesky(35)
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Who is going to be the final winner in IT industry?

Microsoft, Google, Nokia, Samsung, Intel

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5 points
I disagree with the premise of the question.
The IT business adds players as new disruptor emerge, however, no one becomes the single dominant force.
In this sense, the question is malformed, but so are answers to it.
IT is a commodity market, and so it doesn't play well with monopolies - even the Microsoft monopoly was never nearly as total as say, Ma Bell was.
A simplified timeline of disruption:
IBM - System/360, first business computer
Intel - first commercial, mass produced ICs
Apple - first personal computers, then first GUI
Microsoft - first integrated, standardized, and affordable operating system for pcs, then first integrated PC business applications
Google - first integrated, standardized, and affordable (free!) internet user interface, then web-centric applications
All of these companies are still around, earning combined revenues in the hundreds of billions, and continue to innovate and enable innovation: IT since the 70s has been built by startups whose exit strategy is to be swallowed up by the major players.
As much as fanboys and fangirls of each of these companies hate to admit, and as much as their critics decry them, not one of them will emerge as total dominators.
Another market has a similar makeup, that of broadcast: ABC, CBS, NBC, and FOX are dominant players with different levels of dominance in the different spaces, but not one of them can become top dog for more than a few years.
The whole idea that a "final" winner is possible is ludicrous, and patently so.
Posted 225 days ago
- pic Loudacris(811) Favored
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1 point  
That was a long post. The takeaway is spot on: whole idea that a "final" winner is possible is ludicrous, and patently so.
Posted 225 days ago
- pic borme(549) Favored
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1 point  
Great points, this is the same point that I was trying to make. There won't be one single dominant force in "IT", rather there will be many powerful forces each in their respective niches that will continue to do well while new entrepreneurs will come up with innovative technologies that will continue to evolve the industry.
Posted 225 days ago
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1 point  
I think it really depends on what segment of the "IT Industry" you're talking about. In the search, SaaS, and advertising segments I think Google is in a space that would be extremely hard to overtake as a new company. However, when you talk about segments like chips I think a case could be made for both Intel and AMD, in the business intelligence software industry I think Oracle will win. So, like I said it depends on what in particular you're asking about. In the online debating and decision making segment, I think CreateDebate has a great opportunity to emerge as the market leader.
Posted 226 days ago
- pic DocSubtilis(22) Favored
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3 points
I totally agree. But I wouldn't even put names to the faces. If the IT industry continues to flourish there will be no "final winner" but instead there will be a splintering into a multitude of smaller markets. In web design you can already see this happening. Web applications are quickly becoming popular, SEO, marketing, social networking, social bookmarking, label making, all of these things are quickly becoming strong independent players in the IT industry.
Posted 226 days ago
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0 points
I think that Google is the most likely to be the final winner in IT industry because the digital convergence is getting closer and network effect is getting bigger.
Posted 226 days ago


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