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Yes No
Debate Score:188
Arguments:66
Total Votes:267
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 yes (72)
 
 No (58)
 
 It is too early to tell (11)

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JakeJ(2564) pic



Will Obama win in 2012?


Yes

Side Score: 95
VS.

No

Side Score: 93
Vote Up Vote Down
10 points

Yes. Economists expect employment to be back by the end of 2010. Once people can find jobs, we'll see a lot less of the blind anger we see today.

Though Obama's policies (such as the bank bailouts) are unpopular, they were the right thing to do. In the long run, good policy equals good politics. Also, in the coming months, we will pass a good healthcare bill which will be followed by historic financial reform.

He has the American people's best interest at heart and I think when 2012 rolls around people will recognize that... not the conservative ideologues of course... but you know, rational people.

14 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- lawnman(612) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
6 points

Yes. Economists expect employment to be back by the end of 2010.

Are these the same economists who failed to forecast the current economic recession? Would they also be numbered in the consensus of economists who have never foreseen a recession? Are they also the same economists who’ve never seen a stimulus bill they didn’t praise? Are they also the same economists who faithfully always promise a future of economic hope, lower un-employment, and greater riches? Are they the same economists who can foresee the beginning of economic good times and yet never do foresee the beginning of economic woes? Are these the same economists who are to be blamed for the mantra “house prices will always appreciate”? Are these the same economists who are paid to forecast good-news? Are these the same economists who refuse to invest their wages despite their prognostications about the economy? Are these the same economists whose powers of divination are measured by consumer confidence?

Shall I continue…?

BTW, Obama will be awarded the Nobel Prize for economics because of his intention to save not only the US economy but also the economy of the World.

13 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- jessald(1346) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

Nobody has a crystal ball. We all understand this. Come back when you have a real argument. (And no, paranoid ad hominem is not a real argument.)

12 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- jtopolnak(124) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

No not the ones Obama was getting his information from I would like to know the names of those economist that told him his Stimulus was passed that unemployment would stop at 8.5%. There where many that where seeing a recession in late Oct 07 and myself included. Being in real estate I had a good feeling that there was going to be a bust and i even made my sellers take some offers then that they thought where low but now that look back and see how far down they would have been they are thankful, they would have lost even more. Peter Schiff was one out of many that saw this coming. I Even was selling stock short before the crash on Oct 08 and made out pretty well. I'm not an economist but I have a degree in it and numbers to me make sense I understand what is happening and I can predict with good accuracy of what will lie ahead. If in the next year unemployment the national average gets below 9.5% or lower that would be huge for Obama. I hope for everyones sake that it does.

11 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- dtrimble(49) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
5 points

Doesn't saying "Economists expect" suggest that they are all in agreement? That is not the case. Not all economists agree with that. There are very successful and reputable economists that say that we have not seen the worst of it yet!

Its not a matter of people finding jobs so much as it is companies hiring those people.

It is my opinion that the current administrations policies are not favorable for that happening.

I disagree with your assertion that the bail outs were the correct thing to do but that is another debate.

Just my opinion.

Looking forward to your "rational" response. :_)

12 days ago | Tagged As: No
- jtopolnak(124) Supported
Vote Up Vote Down
4 points

You are correct with that they do expect us to see more pain ahead how much more I don't know. But when you are talking about a huge budget, increase with more taxes during a time when people and employer's are struggling to make it, it leaves no incentive to hire. i attend a monthly business group here in Charlotte NC with different companies and they all say the same thing there is a big issue with uncertainty and confidence is low. The biggest concerns lie with new legislation that will require more capital from companies in time when capital is needed.

11 days ago | Tagged As: No
- jtopolnak(124) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
3 points

Just like they only expected unemployment or at least the ones on Obama's payroll to hit 8.5% today we hit 10.2% and still going higher. If you ask them where are the new jobs they don't know. He has at least 2.5 years to do something and to have hopes of re-election but juding by the recent races in New Jersey and Virgina his base has made a shift that Obama should have concern about. We shall see! I hope for all of us that things get better.

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

"Just like they only expected unemployment or at least the ones on Obama's payroll to hit 8.5% today we hit 10.2% and still going higher."

Everyone knows that employment numbers are ALWAYS a lagging economic indicator. The recession is about to be officially declared to be over...wake up...

"but juding by the recent races in New Jersey and Virgina his base has made a shift"

...in your wild dreams that is. You are constantly talking about NJ & VA as if they are national trends, when there is ZERO evidence that there are, period.

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
7 points

Jesus some people are retarded.

@ Itsnotright:

Banished? You didnt even spell it right you redneck retard. What are you doing on a computer anyway?

As for the question. Because most Americans are as stupid as "itsnotright" I would have to say that the economy has to just start making a come back around the time of the re-election. If it gets better and stays better earlier then all the gun toting gay hating people will come out and vote for the republican. If it doesnt happen at all or only minimally then people will blame him for not doing a good job and will vote the other way.

I voted yes on this question because I do think he will bring the economy around but I think it will take about three years which is right around election time.

14 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
6 points

I'd say it's a little early to tell. We've not even gotten to the one-year mark since his inauguration.

And there's no telling what the next two years will hold for our country. It will surely depend on what additional issues we face and how they are dealt with.

Although on the basis of his current work, so long as the economy does rebound within the next year, and nothing else happens, he'd win a second term.

12 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
5 points

He will win the Nobel prize in economics weeks before his re-election that November.

(Don't forget Clinton's slogan: "Its the economy, stupid!")

It worked for Slick Willie, it too shall work for Obama.

14 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
5 points

i think obama because obama been a good president so far all the good things he done for us

14 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
5 points

Yes he will because he has helped alot and he hasn't been in office a full year yet. It's time for change and I think Obama is going to be the one who makes the change. People need to start supporting him more and understand that the world was messed up before he got in office. He has made a lot of things better so yes he will win in 2012.

13 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
3 points

Obama is a very smart black man who is also the most popular man in the planet!He's the first ever black American president and the people love him!He will be greater than Washington and Linkoln!Yes,he will win in 2012

13 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- dtrimble(49) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

disregard this message i am tired :)~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

I even voted myself down!

12 days ago | Tagged As: No
Vote Up Vote Down
3 points

No matter what happens with Obama's policies, the Republicans have moved too far to the right to produce a candidate with moderate appeal. While the Republican nominee used to be decided with a lot of input from party elites, the far right talk shows have taken over the party since Obama's election. Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh will not allow moderates like Giuliani or Huckabee, or even traditional Republicans like Gingrich to become the Republican nominee. Instead, far right "heroes" such as Palin will dominate the nomination process. These candidates will inevitably run poor campaigns that focus on false and trite attacks that the electorate is no longer as vulnerable to due to the widespread internet and decline of a single, easily influenced mass media. However, the Republicans will give a strong convention that will make people wonder if Obama is vulnerable, until a disastrous performance in the debates eliminates whatever hope they had. Thereafter, the Republican campaign will devolve into infighting and will run out of money due to the poor management skills of its leadership, which will cause all but approximately 40% of electorate, representing essentially tea-baggers, loyal republicans, and mistake voters, to turn against them. Obama will then win by a clear margin.

6 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

yes obama will win because he is one of the best presidents weve ever had

11 days ago | Tagged As: yes
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1 point  

Of course Obama is going to win that guys a boss he will boss his way till all his trems are complete, theres no taling him down! Barack Obama is unbeatable!!

8 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

yes he will because alot of people want change and have an african american president!

2 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
0 points

yes

well he won the Nobel prize which is not given to anyone

8 days ago | Tagged As: yes
Vote Up Vote Down
5 points

I'm not saying this is definite or anything and I don't want to jinx it, but if New Jersey can elect a Republican governor, then there is still hope. New Jersey is one of the most liberal/democratic states due to its population density and urban background, but on Tuesday, we elected Chris Christie as the next governor of the state, a Republican. :D

Also, I feel like Obama had so much hype that a lot of Americans are sort of disillusioned. Of course, many still think he's the Messiah, but more and more people who voted for him and supported him are realizing that he's not doing nearly as much as he said he would.

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
- jessald(1346) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
3 points

The vast majority of people who voted for Obama did so because they recognized him as a capable leader. The only people who ever call him a messiah are Republicans making strawman attacks.

He would be able to accomplish a lot more if the Republicans in Congress would cooperate. Right now they are purposely doing everything they can to hold him back, just so they can watch his approval rating go down. Fortunately he seems to be slowly moving forward despite their obstructionism.

14 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- JakeJ(2564) Supported
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

Hey nice job electing Chris Christie!

Anyways, most conservatives hate the north east, but I like it. Minus the liberals. (=

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

"but if New Jersey can elect a Republican governor, then there is still hope."

Well, the outgoing Governor of NJ did an absolutely horrible job, and if this new GOPer doesn't turn things around, he'll be out on his ear soon enuff. NJ will NEVER go for a GOPer in a Presidential election.

"Of course, many still think he's the Messiah"

No, that's another strawman argument from the Right-wing, period.

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
4 points

I don't think so. He won becuase a large independant base and even Republican base voted for him I am one of those. His ideals and policies are too radical and he may have a tough time getting re-elected. His best hope is that the GOP does a bonehead move and put another McCain Palin like ticket. IF someone like Bob McDonell runs I think Obama will lose.

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MKIced(1756) Supported
Vote Up Vote Down
3 points

I agree. Most of his support was based off of Bush's failures. The American public failed to realize that Bush does not equal McCain. Instead, they assumed McCain would do the same things as Bush. Also, they saw Obama as sort of a messiah, a savior for America.

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

"The American public failed to realize that Bush does not equal McCain."

Really?? Then why, praytell, did McSame run away from his own positions on issue after issue to take on GWB's positions??

"Also, they saw Obama as sort of a messiah, a savior for America."

Nobody on the Left ever said this, period.

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
0 points

"IF someone like Bob McDonell runs I think Obama will lose."

People barely even know who that guys is!

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
4 points

Well, i m not saying that he is not going to, but i dont want him to....he is messing up our country!!!

13 days ago | Tagged As: No
- Manastacious(6) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

So, In your opinion, taking our country out of a recession is messing up our country. What about Bush? Would you consider sending us into a trillion dollar war that would send our country into huge debt that we don'. really need to be fighting messing up our country?

11 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

Nice lack of an argument there...ugh...try again wing-nut...

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

I dont think he should get voted in again...we have people over here starving to death,people who cant afford to go to the doctor,no jobs anywhere....but yet lets send 7.3 billion dollars to another country to help them out...it dont make sence. you have to take care of your own first

10 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

"but yet lets send 7.3 billion dollars to another country to help them out"

What are you even talking about??

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

um..no. i hope to god he don't. he is trying to make schools go year round....screw him. i mean i'm a junior and he doesn't need to go running everyone lives. he needs to get a hobby and stand down as president. in the end someone will take a stand and tell that man how they truly feel about him. 85% of Tennesseans voted for him out of pity. McCain should have won....i would have voted for him if i was old enough.

9 days ago | Tagged As: No
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

I don't think he'll make it that far. And NO, I'm not talking about that. I think he'll be bannished before then.

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

"I think he'll be bannished before then."

And what are you even talking about?? Do even YOU know?? My goodness...

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

Obama won't win because he's a horrible president and people will regret voting for him and they will vote against him.

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

No because obama sucks. He said hes not going to send any more troops to Iraq but i heard he did so he is a liar i don't like him. So no i don't think he going to win in 2012.

14 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

"He said hes not going to send any more troops to Iraq but i heard he did so he is a liar"

Ummm, Obama has sent in ZERO new troops to Iraq. The USA will be massively reducing its troop numbers in Iraq in 2010. Watch & learn...

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

No!

At least I hope he doesn't.

The thing I don't get is that every thing that went wrong during the Bush Administration is Bush's fault.

Everything that has gone wrong in the Obama administration is the people's fault because we voted for him (even though I didn't vote for him)

13 days ago | Tagged As: No
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

I am trying to remember when the last liberal president won re-election with out being a centrist?

Help anyone?

No he will not win.

12 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
2 points

"I am trying to remember when the last liberal president won re-election with out being a centrist?"

FDR, Truman...need I go on??

9 days ago | Tagged As: It is too early to tell
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

OK lets stop rite now and lets look at Obamas accomplishments. No he will not win in 2012 unless he does some mighty big things until then.

7 days ago | Tagged As: No
- MisterGuy(2) Disputed
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0 points

"OK lets stop rite now and lets look at Obamas accomplishments."

Well, this is what he's done so far (or what will be done very shortly):

-the Gitmo torture prison will have been closed & the truly guilty from there will have been held to a real standard of justice

-the vast majority of our troops will be out of Iraq (as the American people have wanted for over 3 years now)

-over 4 million more children will be insured through SCHIP

-new research will have been done using new lines of embryonic stem cells

-the economy will be roaring back after one of the worst recessions in almost 100 years

-the American auto industry will be on the mend after being re-focused on making products that Americans truly need in the long-term

-credit card companies & financial institutions will be under new regulations to prevent Americans from being ripped off in the future

-better relations will have been established with Iran & Russia

-a massive reform of our health care system in the USA will have been passed that will not allow health insurance companies to deny coverage to people with pre-existing conditions, to cut off coverage for people that get sick, and to monopolize health insurance costs by denying Americans access to real competition for their health care dollars

-more Americans will have health insurance coverage

-more Americans will be paying less in payroll taxes

-more investment will have occurred in truly renewable, clean, and infinite sources of energy

And who knows what else will be done by 2012...

6 days ago | Tagged As: yes
- brabradabrat(1) Disputed
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1 point  

HEY guess what!?!?!?!? Thats my point even you can't say what he has done RIGHT NOW. There's a lot of "will's" instead of "is" in your argument. And I guarantee you over half of those goals you listed won't get accomplished while he's in office. And the American people could see that unlike you.

6 days ago | Tagged As: No
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

I think that obama wont win year 2012 because there are a lot of people that were really angry with the outcome and with more teens become the age to vote then I feel that if he does apply again for president he won't win. . . Unless the candidates are even stupider then him..

2 days ago | Tagged As: No
Vote Up Vote Down
1 point  

obama has done such a horrible job as president so far and more and more people are staring to realize it every day so i dont even think he should be nominated for the democratic party for the 2012 election.

17hrs 4mins ago | Tagged As: No
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-2 points
- altarion(1824) Disputed
Vote Up Vote Down
3 points

That is a really bad argument.

He is with abortion and yet he has children!!!!

So what?! Is his wife pregnant? For all you know maybe she had an abortion at one point in your life. Saying something is ok for people to do doesn't necessarily mean you are going to do it yourself. You make it seem like all pro-choice activists hate kids, which certainly is NOT true!

10 days ago | Tagged As: No
Popular Debates in Politics: Gun-Rights Which side has more "bigots"? Obama and socialism


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