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 A demonstration of just how ridiculously illogical our political system has become (14)

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A demonstration of just how ridiculously illogical our political system has become

 

Carbon Credits: A Scam

Blockhttp://bytestyle.tv/content/captain-morgan-cap-and-trade-what-happened

You have to be living under a rock to not know that The House passed an "energy bill" late Friday that includes what amounts to a carbon tax via so-called "cap and trade."

Let's first define what this is - "Cap and Trade" is a taxation system when what you do (commercially) that causes carbon dioxide to be emitted into the atmosphere is subject to tax, as a disincentive to do so.

The justification for this, as Krugman (and others) claim, is: treason against the planet.

Let's assume for the sake of argument that the "global warming" folks are right.  I am not sold, but for the purpose of this discussion I'll grant the hypothesis that man is causing the planet to get warmer as a consequence of his emission of CO2 (sequestered millions of years ago into the earth's crust and elsewhere) into the atmosphere.

Here's the problem: North America has about 330 million people in it, most of them in The United States. That's a lot of people.

But Asia has 4 billion people living in it, or more than 10 times as many.  And unfortunately most of them are living at a vastly inferior standard of living compared to ours.  Africa has about 970 million people (three times North America), and again, nearly all are living vastly below our standard of living.

We're 1/15th of the population in question and nearly all of the rest of the people involved are going to dramatically increase their per-capita CO2 output whether we like it or not.

Herein lies the problem: While we emit more CO2 per-capita than anyone else today, we won't be emitting the most CO2 for very long on an aggregate basis.

To actually stop the increase in CO2 emissions we would have to find some way to compel the Asians and Africans to not increase their CO2 emissions.

But all possible means for them to improve their standard of living inherently involve significant and even dramatic increases in CO2 emissions per-capita.

The math is simple: Within a few years China will emit more CO2 than we will.  A few years after that both Africa and India will surpass the United States.  None of these regions will agree to stop emitting CO2 because to do so is to agree to keep their people perpetually poor and agrarian while we enjoy the fruits of a westernized, industrialized economy.

That's not going to happen and yet without it happening no amount of bleating about  "climate change" or laws passed to curtail our CO2 output will do a thing for the climate of the planet.  It will not make any material difference to the outcome; indeed, oil companies have said that they will simply move refining and other operations to nations without such pacts (like India and China!) to avoid the tax, and pass through any impact in the US directly to consumers.

The amount of CO2 emitted will not go down, but your costs will go up, making the only net effect economic: you will be poorer and whatever man-made effect exists on the climate will continue to exist.

If we were truly interested in the welfare of the planet we would recognize that short of thermonuclear war developing nations are not going to agree to stop developing.  We would thus divert our attention toward dealing with the changes that come with our planet's climate, whether it is in fact warming due to our activity or whether the changes in climate are more mundane (read: due to the sun.)  We would thus deploy our money where it could actually do some good, such as flood control and population relocation, along with modifying farming and other production resources to be able to suit changing climactic conditions.

Instead we have so-called "economists" like Krugman who are incapable of doing basic 5th grade math resorting to emotional pleas to try to guilt us into ignoring the basic mathematical facts: this bill will do nothing to address any actual problem and can't, simply because the lions share of the people on the planet will not agree to go along with any plan we might formulate - and this assumes the "global warming" crowd is right.

 

 

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3 points

A cap and trade system could work and it probably is one of the better ways to get corporations to actually do something to help combat global warming. The problem is that all the politicians are bought by at least one corporation and thus they weaken and warp any bill until it is useless for its intended and introduced purpose. Nonetheless, this doesn't mean that bills or actions to combat global warming are wasteful. It just takes longer.

Some people, not just on this site but everywhere, have mentioned that because we the US or other countries more inclined to fighting global warming can't actually force countries like china to reduce their carbon emissions it is a waste of our money and time to reduce our own since they will cut any gains we make.

While this may be true, it doesn't mean we can't continue to reduce our carbon emissions since at least there will be less. Leading by example is our only way to get other countries to adopt better techniques.

If the US or other western countries with the infrastructure and knowledge can actually take steps to seriously develop clean energy technology as well as more efficient processes we could develop the tools needed to solve this problem. These able countries will need to invest a large initial sum of money to get this working but overtime it will pay for it self as well as help the earth. Some countries such as china have said they will follow what the US does. If they are sincere i don't know but once the US and other countries create and adopt better technologies they will become more affordable and accessible to developing countries.

Of course if the US stays on its intended course policy wise our example will mean nothing since we haven't actually set a good example of how to fight combat warming. There are too many people who only think short term and are not willing to be pioneers in these better and cleaner technologies. Investing in clean technology, subsidizing clean energy, taxing poluting energy and industries and continuing even if it appears we are alone is one of the few ways to fix this. We can't ignore it and hope we could adapt to the changes in the climate. If we set a good example and are actually serious about this issue then other countries will eventually follow.

Side: Global warming is real
2 points

I agree that we should take action, but I don't think "setting an example" is a very good argument. I would phrase it in more realist terms: Bringing down our carbon emissions will give us the high ground in compelling China and India to do the same. We could apply economic sanctions, for example. But we're not going to be in a good bargaining position while we're still the #1 carbon emitter in the world.

Side: Global warming is real
2 points

I completely agree. While i do think it is important to set a good example, that alone won't compel any nation to follow, as you already mentioned. I think we need to set a good example so we gain the high ground in our negotiations because if we don't set an example we can't honestly expect the other nations to reduce their carbon emissions if we don't ourselves.

Side: Global warming is real
2 points

Developing countries like China and India have long said they will take action against global warming if the US does as well. Global warming is indisputably happening, and looks like it will cause big problems. The bill passed by the house is an important first step in addressing this problem. The people who opposed it are either selfish or foolish.

Supporting Evidence: Frontline: Heat <-- Watch this, it's good (www.pbs.org)
Side: Krugman is right

While the article above mentions businesses stating that they will move overseas to avoid taxes, it doesn't mention the obvious job losses that will occur here in the USA.

Side: Krugman is right
1 point

The Earth has gone through stages of hot and cold for billions of years now, I don't think the dawn of factories is really what's causing Global Warming. The most close to home hypothesis is that we MIGHT be speeding it up by a few years.

Now, if we are able to CUT DOWN (because we can never eliminate most carbon emissions) it still won't change the fact that most of it will be coming from other nations. So... we won't make a difference, and our lives will be much more inconvenient (refer to descriptions in article).

I do believe in alternative energy mainly because we do need to become independent. But regulating our lives for something that won't do shit is ridiculous and Authoritarian.

Side: Climate Change is Natural
2 points

The Earth has gone through stages of hot and cold for billions of years now, I don't think the dawn of factories is really what's causing Global Warming. The most close to home hypothesis is that we MIGHT be speeding it up by a few years.

Nope. We the warming we are seeing now is unprecudented in recent history, and we know for a fact that it has to do with the dramatic increase in CO2. Please look at this graph if you still don't believe that human activity has had a significant effect on temperature.

True, there is no way we can force other nations to stop emitting CO2, however what we can do is set an example to the rest of the world. To those nations who do continue to emit lots of CO2, we can impose sanctions, where this is possible. To African nations especially we can attach strings to any loans given to them from the world bank or any other institution we control. For China, it becomes more difficult, however, we can certainly work with them diplomatically to convince them to cut down on emissions. What you can be sure of is that they will not even think about trying to stop global warming, if they don't see us making a real effort on the issue first.

I do believe in alternative energy mainly because we do need to become independent. But regulating our lives for something that won't do shit is ridiculous and Authoritarian.

There is no reason to get all fucking paranoid about an authoritarian government. This is where the whole "global warming isn't real" myth came from: conservative anti-government groups that don't want any type of regulation...even if this regulation might help save the planet.

Global warming is very real, and we are causing it. This is what every major scientific institution agrees upon, and unless we make a move to stop it, there will be serious consequences.

Edit: forgot the graph

Side: Global warming is real
ThePyg(6738) Disputed
3 points

actually, the argument came from scientists with PhDs and Nobel Prizes. And a shit load of them as well.

I know, I don't have the list. Sparsely had it, and I guess I should have bookmarked it, but I didn't...

So i'm left at your mercy to remember Sparsely's post from a long time ago.

Side: Climate Change is Natural

...we can do is set an example to the rest of the world.

Have you been successful in changing anyone's mind on this site by example? If so, who. If not, what makes you think we can change anyone's mind by example?

Side: Global warming is real
1 point

It's entirely possible that I live under a rock...Interesting. I didn't think so, but...okay. I can accept that. :)

Side: Global warming is real
1 point

“But all possible means for them to improve their standard of living inherently involve significant and even dramatic increases in CO2 emissions per-capita."

Not necessarily. Biomass energy sources will not lead to a net increase in carbon emissions because plants produce biomass through photosynthesis. Biomass carbon is recycled carbon. It won't decrease the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, but it will allow a higher standard of living for the same amount of carbon dioxide that is already in the atmosphere. And then you can also use wind, solar, tidal and geothermal energy sources that won’t produce carbon emissions.

I have serious doubts that the globe is actually warming and I utterly reject any hypothesis that human behavior is causing any warming that may be taking place. There is no experiment that can be devised to test such a hypothesis. But at the same time it would be in America's best interest to do away with a fossil-fuel based economy. Becoming self-sufficient in energy (biomass, wind, solar) would expand the economy and improve national security because we would no longer be at the mercy of foreign countries that are inherently hostile towards the U.S.

Side: Global warming is real