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Hasn't been wrong in a while But mein fake news
Debate Score:3
Arguments:3
Total Votes:4
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 Hasn't been wrong in a while (2)
 
 But mein fake news (1)

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YoungPup(47) pic



The Primary Model has Trump beating Biden 362 to 176

The Primary Model gives President Trump a 91% chance of winning a possible match-up with Democrat Joe Biden in November, based on primary performance in New Hampshire and South Carolina, plus the first-term electoral benefit. Trump would get 362 electoral votes, Biden 176.    

Hasn't been wrong in a while

Side Score: 2
VS.

But mein fake news

Side Score: 1

Your article is from March. Do you actually do anything else with your day other than surf the internet for out-of-date fascist propaganda? The very first paragraph reads:-

Caution: The massive disruptions caused by the Coronavirus outbreak may prompt me to revise the forecast, especially if there is a crack in Trump support.

Which is exactly what happened. Idiot.

Side: Hasn't been wrong in a while
HootiesWank(95) Disputed
0 points

So you admit that a poll that is never wrong said Trump can't lose.

Caution: The massive disruptions caused by the Coronavirus outbreak may prompt me to revise the forecast, especially if there is a crack in Trump support.

Which is exactly what happened. Idiot.

They didn't revise their claim.

Here's the same claim by the same pollster a month later.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.newsday.com/amp/opinion/commentary/donald-trump-2020-election-joe-biden-norpoth-prediction-1.43910576

Side: But mein fake news
1 point

a poll that is never wrong

That's also false:-

For all elections from 1912 to 2012, the Primary Model picks the winner, albeit retroactively, every time except in 1960.

https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ ps-political-science-and-politics/article/primary-model-predicts-trump-victory/F374BCB3C2A291B21A8A39CD3ECD6BE3/core-reader

You're a boring partisan hack, pal.

Side: Hasn't been wrong in a while
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